I know very little about the israel/palestine conflict. It does strike me that Israel is, to some extent, being suckered. Hamas' rocket firing (which, it is reasonable to believe, they would know would provoke a military response - it's hard to see what else it achieves) seems designed to provoke Israel into overreacting, killing (ad- or inad-vertently) Gazan civilians, which gives Hamas a fresh crop of matyrs and alienated recruits. Provoking a disproprotionate response from "the authorities" is a classic insurrectionist tactic.
The implication is that Hamas have decided that being a civil government is just too hard (understandable under the blockade conditions they face) and have decided to revert to being a pure guerilla/terrorist militia again, since if you want to supply good governance then provoking attacks on your citizens/subjects isn't very helpful.
![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
no subject
Date: 2009-01-09 03:22 am (UTC)I know very little about the israel/palestine conflict. It does strike me that Israel is, to some extent, being suckered. Hamas' rocket firing (which, it is reasonable to believe, they would know would provoke a military response - it's hard to see what else it achieves) seems designed to provoke Israel into overreacting, killing (ad- or inad-vertently) Gazan civilians, which gives Hamas a fresh crop of matyrs and alienated recruits. Provoking a disproprotionate response from "the authorities" is a classic insurrectionist tactic.
The implication is that Hamas have decided that being a civil government is just too hard (understandable under the blockade conditions they face) and have decided to revert to being a pure guerilla/terrorist militia again, since if you want to supply good governance then provoking attacks on your citizens/subjects isn't very helpful.