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Diary of a B+ Grade Polymath ([personal profile] tcpip) wrote2008-10-13 05:31 pm

US Presidental Elections, Economic Disasters, Gaming and a basket of rats

If it couldn't get any worse for the Republicans, the inquiry into Palin has revealed that she did abuse her power in the "troopergate" affair - interesting to note that the Alaskan legislature voted unanimously to make the report public. I'm going out on a bit of a limb here as a psephologist and make the claim that the McCain/Palin pretty much can't win. The RCP Electoral College map shows that even if they win all the states that are in doubt, they will still lose - and that would be reversing a trend which is currently 77-26 in favour of Obama in the "toss up" states. This lead is likely to increase as Obama is intending to spend big on the last weeks of the election. Given that the Republicans are largely sunk, there is some sense in Libertarians who normally vote Republican to vote for their favoured third-party; I normally don't make such recommendations given the way that the US electoral system works (first-past-the-post, winner-takes-all), which effectively limits voting choice to the least disliked of two options. But in this case, given that the Republican cannot win, Libertarians should take the opportunity to give the anti-secular moral conservatives a swift kick to the rear.

Last week the Dow fell 18% as emergency G-20 summits are called. National debt in the United States is now $11 trillion and the clock runs out of digits; competing in orders of magnitude, Zimbabwe's inflation rate is 231 million percent. The British strategy is to punish top executives and to purchase preferential shares. Would anyone be terribly surprised if it I pointed out that housingestate prices are falling at record rates?.

Usual D&D 3.x Fantasy Australia game on Thursday. Played a great game of Middle Earth Role Playing on Friday night (thank you Michael) and on Saturday wrote an alternative Fourth Age article for Other Minds entitled "White Hand Rising" (go on, guess what that's about). On Sunday played [livejournal.com profile] imajica_lj's Call of Cthulhu game. Thank you for all your very kind comments on Scoundrel's departure. Our household couldn't remain ratless for long and on Saturday, courtesy of a lovely lass named Sarah we picked up three new boys, born on the 14th of August. Welcome to (top-down) Mischief, Calamity and Trouble.

[identity profile] i-amthecosmos.livejournal.com 2008-10-13 07:24 am (UTC)(link)
Agreed with the above comment, also, the Republican mood is getting uglier and uglier as they face losing to Obama.

I predict some truly nasty racial politics, if not a bomb threat.

[identity profile] tcpip.livejournal.com 2008-10-13 08:29 am (UTC)(link)
It will be interesting; a negative campaign is useful when one holds a marginal lead and is hoping to stem a tide. In that context it will work; it doesn't win votes, but it can stop the flow to the opposition.

In this situation however McCain needs to come up with something absolutely mindboggling incredible that resonates the entire heart and sould of the citizens of the US. I don't think he's got that.

The more extreme right-wing elements will get more extreme as the Obama victory becomes increasingly likely. There has been, as we know, already one planned assassination attempt. There will be others.

Despite his most abhorrent foreign policies that cause the death of thousands, and domestic incompetence, I think at worst McCain is a little - shall we say "old fashioned"? - on matters of race he is going to find increasingly the core of people who support him are those who cannot stand the idea of a man with a Semitic name or dark pigmentation becoming President. I don't think he's going to like that association.

Hmmm... But Palin might.

[identity profile] darknova666.livejournal.com 2008-10-13 02:27 pm (UTC)(link)
he looks pretty frail too