tcpip: (Default)
Diary of a B+ Grade Polymath ([personal profile] tcpip) wrote2010-08-23 08:46 am

Dead Rats, Conference and Ministry, Election 2010

As I was leaving for Queensland on Friday morning I noticed that Calamity rat had suffered another stroke, and he died later that day. One of our trio he'd just made it past two years of age and had been in care for a few months after his first stroke which caused paralysis on the back legs. This was, of course, after a removal of a tumour and subsequent emergency. Despite all these medical issues Calamity and being very shy as a ratling he was always an affectionate and apparently happy little rodent. He now joins Astaroth rabbit in our small backyard. With a degree of irony, 'stroth is providing blood and bone for some newly planted carrots and 'lamity is doing the same for parsley.

As mentioned I have returned from three days in Queenland, a ICUU/ANZUUA conference on growth, vitality and leadership lead by Rev. Jill McAlister of the People's Church of Kalamazoo. The Conference was held in a late-deco former nunnery for the Sisters of Mercy surrounded by forest, which was just a beautiful location. It was a great opportunity to, once again, meet up with the leadership of various congregations in the region one of the most significant decisions was to establish a ministry school along the lines of Meadville-Lombard or Starr King. Further, I have decided to take up such studies myself, probably starting at the end of this year. It is something I have had in the back of my mind for some time, and this conference has spurred the decision.

Finally, whilst all this was happening there was an election occurring. The results have led to a hung parliament at this stage, with Labor on 72 seats, the conservative Coalition on 71, the Greens 1, 4 independents and 2 still in doubt (Hasluck, Brisbane), both of which should go Labor's way on postals and pre-polls. Whilst Labor suffered heavily on the primary vote (and especially in Queensland), nearly all of this has gone to the Greens, with a very minor swing to the Coalition overall and Labor still leading 50.7% to 49.3% on two-party preferred. I have much to say about Labor's strategy and tactics in this election and in the wider analysis which will be written up in a forthcoming article. In the meantime, it seems almost certain that Labor will return to power albeit with the support of minor parties and independents which is possibly the best thing that could happen; good governance with good watchmen. Edit I've conducted an analysis of the postal votes which contains a few surprises.

Re: My brief comment on pollbludger.com

[identity profile] tcpip.livejournal.com 2010-08-23 01:22 am (UTC)(link)
Because "everyone" is wrong :)

If I can repeat a letter in today's Age


How it must all now play out

THERE is a vast amount of ignorance on the rules concerning a hung parliament. There are suggestions that the party with the highest number of votes has some preference, or that independents ''would be required to sign a document stating that they would support a particular side'' (''Hung result rewrites the political rules'', The Sunday Age, 22/8).

The actual position is:

■The incumbent Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, remains Prime Minister until she resigns or is rejected by the House of Representatives.

■Both sides will seek to attract the support of members; they don't take it in turns to try to form government.

■Even if the Leader of the Opposition obtains majority support of other members, the Prime Minister is entitled to remain as Prime Minister and to meet the House of Representatives in that capacity.

■The independents are not required to sign a compact with the incoming government. It is convenient if they do, but it is not an essential requirement.

What is an essential requirement is the support of the lower house. If Tony Abbott obtains that support, he is entitled to form a government, whether or not he has a signed compact with independents.

Ian Killey, former general counsel Department of Premier and Cabinet (Victoria), Bentleigh




Speaking of which The Age also printed my brief two-line letter prior to the election - this was after the announcement of the "boatphone". JULIA Gillard wants to be prime minister. Tony Abbott wants to be personally in charge of assessing asylum seekers. I can see a compromise here.

Interestingly, the possibility still holds :)

Re: My brief comment on pollbludger.com

[identity profile] ctudball.livejournal.com 2010-08-23 01:38 am (UTC)(link)
That does help explain it. Thanks :)