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Diary of a B+ Grade Polymath ([personal profile] tcpip) wrote2009-12-13 03:11 pm

Academic and Work Pursuits, Polanski and Commie Debates

Received my results for the first two units of my MBA, Financial Management and Management Perspectives; I passed both with Distinction grades. This was an enormous relief, especially for the Financial Management exam, which I thought was extremely difficult at the time. It also means that, assuming I complete Marketing and Information Systems, I will have a Graduate Certificate in Management (Technology Systems) by the end of next month. Then on to the Graduate Diploma. On a related angle, I have been given the necessary task of trying to make some sense of the internal wiki, external website and some of our marketing material. It doesn't make sense to pitch with generic marketing speak to scientists, for some well-known reasons, which have recently become evident at the Australian Synchrotron.

The events of Roman Polanksi's extradition for sexual assault have been long discussed. If you have the stomach for it, you can read the testimony of the young Samantha Geimer on the events themselves. When some members of the entertainment industry tried to defend Polanksi on the grounds of his international cultural reputation, most people responded to this with appropriate outrage. An unexpected angle however has come from the Sparticist League who have defended Polanski because Samantha was sexually experienced and had tried quaaludes previous. You can read the Sparticist League's position in the Communist Party of Great Britian newspaper in issue 794 and my response in 795.

[identity profile] lederhosen.livejournal.com 2009-12-17 07:07 am (UTC)(link)
I would think that basic risk analysis would work out to as punishment times likelihood%.

It does, but if people were that rational about risk decisions, nobody would buy lottery tickets.

On criminology, see e.g. Nagin & Pogarsky, Integrating Celerity, Impulsivity, and Extralegal Sanction Threats into a Model of General Deterrence: Theory and Evidence:

Deterrence studies focusing on the certainty and severity of sanctions have been a staple of criminological research for more than thirty years. Two prominent findings from this literature are that punishment certainty is far more consistently found to deter crime than punishment severity, and the extra-legal consequences of crime seem at least as great a deterrent as the legal consequences


Further, as discussed here, harsher penalties can have paradoxical effects: they make juries more reluctant to convict, lowering the rate of conviction, and from the would-be criminal's side the reduced risk of conviction can outweigh the increased consequences.

[identity profile] tcpip.livejournal.com 2009-12-18 04:05 am (UTC)(link)
It does, but if people were that rational about risk decisions, nobody would buy lottery tickets.

Most people do risk analysis on lottery tickets; it's just based on affordable fun rather than probability of winning.

Two prominent findings from this literature are that punishment certainty is far more consistently found to deter crime than punishment severity

OK, that seems to be fair enough; than you for that. It then becomes a multiple metric of ratios, ie., what increase in punishment severity reflects what change in punishment certainty.

the extra-legal consequences of crime seem at least as great a deterrent as the legal consequences

That part is certainly interesting. It seems that despite the existential angst of 'hell is society', it would appear that social isolation is even worse.

Further, as discussed here...

From the abstract: This article shows that optimal fines should rise with the severity of the infraction, that is, the penalty should "fit the crime."

In other words, this certainly does not contradict with what I have been describing. The severity of the infraction is, and must be, a subjective matter when a victim is involved, assuming that tests of sincerity are confirmed.